WSJ: Ukraine Gave A "surprise" To Russia On The Frontline

Ukrainian forces have effectively stopped and paralyzed the Russian army.

Russia's war against Ukraine has been going badly for Putin in recent weeks, both on the ground and in the air, writes The Wall Street Journal. Ukrainian forces have effectively stopped and paralyzed the numerically superior Russian army in recent months, gaining a tactical and technological advantage.

The summer should now show whether Ukraine can turn this into a strategic turning point, the analysis noted, but Russia is losing momentum.

"Ukraine is certainly in a stronger position than many expected," said military analyst Franz-Stefan Gadi.

Experts note that such a result came as a surprise to many military experts, as well as to Putin and his General Staff chief Gerasimov, who had hoped to capture Donbass first by December and then by early summer, but the situation on the front looks different.

The WSJ assesses that the Russian offensive has slowed, and the Kremlin's claims of imminent victory are coinciding more and more poorly with the situation on the front. Ukraine has stepped up drone strikes, improved tactics and is increasingly disrupting the advance of Russian units.

At the same time, experts warn: it is too early to talk about a full-fledged breakthrough. The war is in cycles of adaptation, and Russia will be looking to respond to Ukraine's technological and tactical improvements.

"At this stage of the war, we can only look ahead a few weeks with confidence," Gadi said.

The WSJ's main conclusion: Russia is not winning in the way the Kremlin is trying to show, but it is not in a state of collapse, either. This is an uncomfortable middle ground for Putin: the army is suffering high casualties, there are no quick gains, and superiority in numbers is not producing decisive results, but the Kremlin continues to cling to its previous goals, which is why the coming months become critical. If Ukraine maintains its advantage in drones, reconnaissance and pinpoint strikes, summer could be the moment when the Russian campaign finally loses momentum.

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