"The Front Is Crumbling": The Kremlin Is Desperately Searching For A Way Out
- 13.06.2026, 12:50
- 3,168
Even unpopular decisions are unlikely to help Moscow.
Russia is considering the possibility of launching large-scale mobilization efforts. Such tactics are not new to the occupiers, but the lack of significant success on the battlefield and economic difficulties are undermining the Kremlin’s ability to implement radical measures.
Despite all this, there is speculation that Russia’s military leadership may attempt to mobilize between 300,000 and 500,000 people. The head of the Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation Serhiy Kuzan told “Channel 24” that covert mobilization in Russia has been ongoing continuously and has only intensified since the beginning of 2025. However, this has not yet yielded significant results for the occupiers on the battlefield.
Why is the Kremlin considering a new mobilization?
Sergey Kuzan noted that if one compares the current pace of Russian advances with the same period last year, it has significantly slowed down—in particular, it has dropped by two or even three times in various sectors of the front. However, the cost of continuing the Russian offensive on the front is rising significantly for the Russian authorities.
This is precisely why the Kremlin is looking for ways to maintain the current pace of offensive operations. One of the simplest solutions they see is to bring in additional personnel.
However, according to Kuzan, there is no unified position within Russia regarding a new wave of mobilization. Political and economic circles are particularly critical of this idea. This is because the Russian economy is already experiencing a labor shortage, and mobilization will only exacerbate this problem.
“The very fact of announcing mobilization will cause hidden damage. Just as many Russians simply won’t show up for work; they’ll hide from mobilization and try to cross the border,” he emphasized.
According to the head of the Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation, some Russians will try to flee to Georgia, Kazakhstan, and other countries, which will further accelerate negative trends in the Russian economy.
Could a new mobilization turn the tide of the war?
Serhiy Kuzan noted that the Kremlin has not yet made a final decision on a large-scale mobilization. Russian authorities continue to weigh the potential benefits and risks of such a move. At the same time, the Ukrainian army, he said, is preparing for the worst-case scenario.
“As long as the Ukrainian army feels the support of the public, even an additional 100,000 or 200,000 mobilized Russians will not be able to turn the tide of the war,” he emphasized.
However, one should not ignore the possibility that, in the event of a new mobilization, Russia could achieve certain tactical successes or intensify combat operations. However, the Kremlin would need significantly greater resources to achieve a strategic turning point on the front lines.
What are Russia’s chances of strengthening its military capabilities?
Mobilization in Russia is unlikely to help the Kremlin change the situation on the front lines. Analysts believe that even in the event of a new large-scale draft, the occupiers will face logistical problems, a shortage of personnel, and difficulties in deploying reserves. In addition, Ukrainian drones continue to significantly limit the Russian army’s capabilities on the front lines.
In Russia, there are increasing efforts to recruit volunteers for the war against Ukraine. The Kremlin is facing a shortage of personnel and is therefore seeking additional sources to replenish the army.
Vladimir Putin stated that Russia has deployed more than 700,000 troops to the war against Ukraine. At the same time, analysts note that increasing the size of the occupying forces does not guarantee the Kremlin significant success on the front lines, as the Russian army continues to suffer heavy losses and faces difficulties in carrying out its assigned tasks.
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