Oleg Dunda: Lukashenko Has Put "watchmen-guards" On The Border
7- 4.08.2025, 15:45
- 27,196
What kind of units have appeared on the border with Ukraine?
In Gomel on August 2, armored vehicles with symbols similar to the identification marks of Russian troops in Ukraine were spotted.
In particular, we are talking about red squares placed on the spotted APCs, as well as red armbands on the sleeves of the commanders.
Is there a real threat in these actions of Lukashenko's regime? The deputy of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine from the party "Servant of the People" Oleh Dunda gave his assessment of this event to the site Charter97.org:
- Look, tactically there is no threat in Gomel and near it. But if we consider strategically - of course, there is one. Note that Lukashenko recently said at a meeting in Moscow that Belarus will create a new brigade of Special Forces on the border with Ukraine. We understand perfectly well that these forces are of no importance compared to the AFU.
Imagining that some Russian units, together with this new Belarusian one, cross the border with Ukraine, go to Zhitomir, to Kiev is the ravings of a madman. Lukashenko has not created any Special Forces, they will differ little from an ordinary police unit (conditionally - OMON) in their skills, knowledge and capabilities. That is, against the Ukrainian army, even conditionally speaking reservists, who are on the Belarusian border, they do not represent any force.
Then the question is asked: what is it for? The answer is quite simple. These are, let's say, signaling units that should be on the border with Ukraine. In fact, in the event of an operation in the Baltic region by Russian troops, these units should in some way be a notional watchman, a notional janitor, and provide at least some minimal counteraction if Ukraine decides to somehow react to Russia's Baltic operation. Nothing more than that. That is, conditionally speaking, it is a "watchman-guard".
- Can we say that Lukashenko's regime plays the role of a "scenery" for the Kremlin's information special operations?
- I would call it differently. Lukashenko is a reincarnation of Kadyrov. Only with a Belarusian accent. In fact, not de jure, but de facto.
If you look at things realistically, and not at documents, legal status and formal signs, Belarus and Lukashenko are not much different from Chechnya and Kadyrov. Both have formal signs of statehood: their own armed forces, local laws. Lukashenko, like Kadyrov, has local laws. But in fact, they are part of the big Russian empire, and the status of these leaders - both Lukashenko and Kadyrov - depends entirely on Moscow, on Putin. In a sense, Putin uses them as additional tools for his tasks.
Conditionally, Kadyrov is a tool for promoting interests or a negotiator in the Gulf and Muslim world, with a certain set of fake autonomy. And Minsk and Lukashenko are constantly trying to be used as a negotiator with Ukraine and the West, which is always offering something: a platform for negotiations, an exchange, or some other initiatives. But in fact, they are puppets like the rest of the Russian regions.