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Can The Iranians Topple The Regime After The Ceasefire?

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Can The Iranians Topple The Regime After The Ceasefire?
Photo: AP

The ayatollahs' regime is facing a new economic crisis.

The cease-fire between the US and Israel on the one hand and Iran on the other has come into effect. The main questions now are how much the mullahs' regime has weakened and whether the Iranian population can topple it, writes BILD.

For months now, there has been almost no information coming out of Iran. After the killings of thousands of protesters, the Iranian regime is restricting internet access. Little is also known about the state of the country's leadership, which has suffered heavy losses as a result of U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. Regime opponent and analyst Morad Vaisi listed some of the results of the war in X: the mullahs have lost "a very large number of commanders and officials," the air force is "almost completely destroyed," as are air defenses, the defense industry, and numerous command posts of the army, intelligence services, and the suppression apparatus. In addition, Iran has soured its relations with Gulf countries and is facing a new economic crisis.

Will there be a new wave of protests?"

Yes, say the optimists.

"There is definitely a scenario in which the Iranian opposition will take advantage of the ceasefire to take to the streets again," Israeli Iran expert Or Yissakhar told BILD. American analyst Jason Brodsky thinks the same: "When the dust settles, the same reasons that already motivated Iranians to protest before Operation Epic Fury aren't going anywhere. In fact, they have even intensified. These include an economic crisis, a social crisis, an environmental crisis, and an insurmountable gap between state and society."

At the beginning of the war, US President Donald Trump said that Iranians should wait for US airstrikes to end before protesting again. And so the airstrikes have stopped.

Can the Iranians topple the mullahs?"

No, skeptics say.

Israeli analyst and Iran expert Raz Zimt writes in the Ynet news portal, "There are no signs now that the Iranian regime, despite significant internal challenges, [...] is on the verge of collapse. He recalls the massacre of protesters in January: "Even if the Iranian population takes to the streets to protest their increasingly dire situation, it is highly doubtful that the regime has this time lost the ability to brutally repress demonstrators."

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