Young People Are Rapidly Disappearing In Russia
8- 5.02.2026, 8:22
- 4,968
Intelligence gave a shocking prediction until 2040.
By 2040, Russia risks turning into a "society of elderly women" due to rapid population aging, gender imbalance and demographic losses from war.
The Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine reports that.
The demographic situation in Russia is deteriorating very rapidly. Thus, the share of the population under the age of 35 has fallen from 55% in 1990 to 40% in 2025, and after 2020 the rate of decline has accelerated. If this trend continues, then by 2040 young people in Russia will be only about 30%.
The sharp decline in the male population is particularly alarming. Already from the age of 25-30, men are dying or emigrating, which leads to the predominance of women in older age groups. Experts predict that the median resident of Russia in 2040 will be a woman aged 50-55.
The shortage of young men will not only limit economic activity, but also threaten the country's ability to maintain a powerful army and stable industry.
In addition, social structures will change: the need for medical and social support for the elderly will increase, and the government will have to spend more resources on pensions and health care.
The impact of the war on Russia's demographic collapse
It should be noted that the war in Ukraine further accelerates the demographic crisis. Mass losses among men of conscription and working age, the growth of disability and emigration will eventually form an "empty" age group.
The war in Ukraine has become a powerful gas pedal of such processes:
Mass losses: thousands of men of working age are killed or disabled.
Emigration: the most educated and young part of the population left the country to escape mobilization.
Demographic "hole": the new generation simply does not have time to be born, because potential parents are either at the front or abroad.
So, the war not only depletes resources today, but actually sterilizes the nation, depriving it of chances for dynamic development in the next decades. Russia is now moving steadily toward the status of a "global nursing home" with an aggressive ideology but without the physical strength to implement it.
Economic and social consequences
The formation of a "society of elderly women" in Russia will inevitably entail tectonic changes in Russia's domestic policy:
Social conservatism: an aging and vulnerable society will demand not innovation, but "rigid stability" and preservation of the current state.
Labor shortage: economic renewal will become impossible due to the lack of young personnel and innovators.
Market shrinkage: demand will shift towards medicine and social security, which will increase the burden on the budget, which is already depleted by military expenditures.