"This Is The First Time Something Like This Has Happened Since The War Started."
8- 24.02.2026, 17:00
- 23,882
The Kremlin finds itself in a critical situation.
The Russian army for the first time in the entire period of full-scale war against Ukraine has found itself in a situation where for three months in a row its losses have exceeded the rate of personnel replenishment. This was reported by Western officials on the fourth anniversary of the invasion, writes The Times.
Military intelligence estimates that Russia sends about 30,000 to 35,000 mobilized troops to the eastern front every month. For the past three months, however, losses have consistently exceeded those figures. A senior official commenting on the situation called it "critical" for the Kremlin and stressed that such an imbalance could force the Russian authorities to expand forced mobilization.
He stressed that this affects not only the tactical capabilities of Russian troops, but also creates domestic political risks: according to him, a larger mobilization could have "huge political consequences" for the regime.
Explaining the scale of the problem, the official added:
"This is not the first time the level of casualties has exceeded recruitment, but it is the first time this has gone on for three months."
Russian casualties and drone dominance
The British Armed Forces Minister El Carnes said Russia's total losses - killed and wounded - had already reached 1.25 million. This, he said, is more than the US lost in the entire Second World War. He stressed that the modern battlefield has changed radically: about 87% of Russian losses are caused by drone strikes.
Carnes also noted that Ukraine has destroyed more than 4,000 Russian tanks and about 10,000 armored vehicles during the four years of the war. The Russian Black Sea Fleet, he said, has actually lost combat capability due to naval drone and missile strikes.
In comparison, Ukrainian losses are estimated at about 600,000 military personnel since the invasion began.
Zaluzhny: the world is entering a new era of war
In a speech at Chatham House, Ukraine's ambassador to Britain and former AFU commander-in-chief Valeriy Zaluzhny emphasized that strikes on energy infrastructure have become "the main tool of Russian warfare," leaving millions of Ukrainians without light and heat.
He warned that future conflicts would be defined by "swarms of autonomous drones" and that the front line was turning into a "robotic strike zone 25 kilometers deep." Traditional expensive weapons systems are gradually losing effectiveness, he said, and nuclear weapons are no longer an absolute deterrent.
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