"This Is Exactly What Could Be A Factor In Pressuring Minsk"

Warsaw's trust in Lukashenko is becoming zero.

This was told to the website Charter97.org by the candidate of philosophical sciences, head of the Ukrainian Center for Belarusian Communications Maksim Pleshko, commenting on the closure of the Polish-Belarusian border:

- For years Lukashenko has been selling China a fairy tale about a "new silk road" through Belarus, positioning himself as a "gateway to Europe." But the closure of the Polish-Belarusian border has effectively scuttled those plans. The key hub - the terminal in Malashevichy - is paralyzed, and alternative routes through Ukraine or Lithuania are now unrealistic.

For Beijing, this is a signal: Belarusian transit is unreliable, too dependent on the political crisis and Moscow's decisions. Therefore, the "frank conversation" with Lukashenko is rather a demonstration of discontent. China is interested in preserving access to European markets, and this may become a factor of pressure on Minsk. But it should be understood that Beijing's real influence is limited, because Lukashenko is actually driven into complete dependence on the Kremlin.

In addition, the regime itself complicates the situation - when in Minsk instead of finding compromises, only anti-Western slogans like "Poland is the enemy" are heard, Warsaw's trust becomes zero. Even China will find it difficult to convince Poland to restore transit under such conditions.

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