The Telegraph: Putin Is Now Critically Vulnerable

The Kremlin has been put in a difficult position.

Less than a year after the fall of the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria, Russian President Vladimir Putin risks losing another strategic ally in the Middle East - Iran. Israel's powerful attack on Iranian military infrastructure has not only shaken Tehran's position, but also posed a real threat to Moscow-Tehran military cooperation, writes journalist Con Coughlin for The Telegraph.

Since the failure of the initial plans for the so-called "special operation" in Ukraine, the Kremlin has been actively strengthening ties with Iran. After Putin's visit to Tehran in 2022, Russia began actively receiving Iranian drones and missiles that were used to attack Ukrainian infrastructure. In January 2025, Moscow and Tehran signed a strategic agreement for a 20-year partnership.

A recent major Israeli military offensive, however, has jeopardized Iran's ability to support Russia. The Israel Defense Forces are destroying drone and missile production and launchers, which has already led to a significant reduction in Iranian firepower. If Iran cannot even provide for its own defense, it is unlikely to be able to support Russian forces in the future.

In addition, developments in Iran put Putin in a difficult position with his longtime partner, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu. The Kremlin is unlikely to engage in open confrontation with Israel, despite an agreement with Iran on mutual assistance in the event of an attack.

The situation also raises concerns among Tehran's other allies, North Korea and China. An Israeli military campaign could put an end to years of partnerships, particularly Beijing's energy arrangements with Iran.

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