Future War Signs

The main scenarios.

Today is an important day, it can be a signal about how the situation around the war will unfold. Today, the world must respond to Putin's farce called elections. So, there are several signals and their connection to the future.

1. The West does not react to the elections in any way. This means that the current situation will continue. They will support us, but wait for Putin to one day abandon the war and go home himself.

2. Orban, Fico and, possibly, Trump, congratulate Putin on his election victory. This is a very bad signal. He will show that the West is weak, not consolidated. We will receive assistance intermittently, becoming weaker, and, accordingly, there is a risk of truce. There are two sub-scenarios here:

2.1. Orban, Fico and Trump congratulate Putin with the silence of others – then see above.

2.2. Biden, Macron and Sunak strongly condemn the election results against the background of congratulations from Fico, Orban and Trump – then watch signal 1.

3. The whole West condemns the elections and does not recognize Putin. This is a signal of the continuation of the war until the complete victory of Ukraine Since negotiations with an unrecognized leader are unlikely in these circumstances.

Of course, signals 2.1 and 1 have the most chances.

Viktor Andrusiv, Telegram