`The Most Likely Scenario For End Of War
5- 4.12.2023, 9:05
- 13,350
![`The Most Likely Scenario For End Of War](https://i.c97.org/ai/536124/aux-head-1676283416-20230213_roman_svitan_360.jpg)
The hot phase will not be prolonged.
The victory of the AFU over the Russian army is part of the US plans and is woven into the political struggle in America, so the main phase of the war should end tentatively next autumn - just before the US presidential elections. Most likely, in the spring we will receive fighter jets and long-range missiles to carry out the main task of liberating Crimea. Aircraft and long-range missiles will make it possible to liberate Crimea in 3-4 months, this should happen in June-August next year. Next we will deal with Donbas.
It will be easier to liberate Donbas after Crimea, but the fighting will take longer. In such a situation, there will be an advance towards the border and there will be an opportunity to cut the region off from Russia. However, in order to do this, it will be necessary to enter Russian territory - Rostov or Taganrog - to cut off Donbas along its eastern borders, or to move along the Seversky Donets, Don or Mius rivers. Donbas will probably have to be cleared somewhere in the spring of 2025.
All this will take place in anticipation of Ukraine's accession to NATO. The AFU will probably reach the 1991 borders in the spring. Perhaps in the early summer of 2025, before the summit in the Netherlands. I think that next year in Washington we will be invited to join NATO and we will have the opportunity to sign bilateral treaties with 32 countries of the Alliance. At the moment, there are 31 countries in the bloc, but I believe that by then Sweden will also join the bloc. And already in 2025, at the summit in the Netherlands, Ukraine will be admitted to NATO. We should arrive there with clean borders with Russia, having destroyed the last Russian soldier.
This is roughly the US plan. Let it come true. For this to happen, everyone must make a serious effort - both the Ukrainian army and our Western partners, who must transfer weapons to us. In order to implement the plan, we need to receive military equipment, aircraft and missiles with new modifications.
Roman Svitan, Glavred