"We Are Witnessing The Agony Of Putin's Regime."

The Russian dictator is a failed manager.

Echelons with Russian military personnel started arriving in Belarus under the guise of preparations for the West-2025 exercise. The Kremlin has repeatedly used such maneuvers as a cover for aggression. What provocations are possible on the part of Russia and Lukashenko's regime? About it Charter97.org talked with the coordinator of the civil campaign "European Belarus" Dmitry Bondarenko.

- Let me remind you that in 2021, when the exercise "West-2021" was held, the invasion began not during the exercise, but later, a few months later. Now the permanent phase of the presence of Russian troops in Belarus may start again, which will last for months. This is the main threat.

As for the plans - Lukashenko is not planning anything. Only Putin is planning to stay in power at any cost. But he is a failed manager who has lost everything: in economics, geopolitics, strategy. He has failed in the Middle East. Russia has been building its policy there for decades, starting with the USSR - and it all ended in defeat. Neither Saddam Hussein nor Bashar al-Assad could be helped by Putin at crucial moments. Because he has no resources.

He lost the Far East as well. The vast territory is home to 8 million Russians - and the Chinese, they say, are already several million. China actually uses the port of Vladivostok as a domestic port. More than 500 million people live in China's northern provinces, while only about 30 million Russians live beyond the Urals. Putin is simply surrendering Siberia to China.

The next major defeat is the Caucasus, where the Russian Empire has had a policy for hundreds of years. One would have to be a "genius" to unite Armenia and Azerbaijan under anti-Russian statements. Again, Putin can't do anything because Erdogan has the most powerful Turkish army and all the Russian forces are thrown into the war against Ukraine.

The Baltic? At the beginning of the last century Finland was part of the Russian Empire, Sweden was neutral. Today, look at a map: to the left and right of the Gulf of Finland are NATO countries. Ust-Luga and St. Petersburg are sandwiched between Finland and Estonia. Putin can't even twitch here.

So two grandfathers are sitting on Valaam, on a bench, reasoning that they will "capture" someone else. We are witnessing the agony of Putin's regime, as we once witnessed the agony of Brezhnev's regime. But it cannot be ruled out that in his marasmus Putin will take steps that will bring misfortune to others. As Brezhnev and his politburo unleashed the war in Afghanistan - with a million dead Afghans and tens of thousands of dead Soviet soldiers.

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