Ukrainian Officer: The First Phase Of Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Has Begun

The calculation of the Ukrainian command had been justified.

An oil refinery in Ilyinsky is on fire in the Krasnodar region for the second day in a row. There is daily information about explosions in the south of the Russian Federation and in occupied Crimea.

Can one make a conclusion about Ukraine's counteroffensive direction? Is it really preparation? Charter97.org addressed this question to Oleksiy Hetman, an AFU Reserve Major and Russian-Ukrainian war veteran.

– I half agree with you. The direction is unknown, but preparations for counteroffensive actions are really underway. First, we need to destroy the fuel and other depots and railway stations: everything that is in the rear and can help in the conduct of hostilities by Russian troops.

This is what is happening right now. I would even say that this is not a preparation for a counteroffensive, but already its first phase.

– Were the drone attacks carried out by the Armed Forces of Ukraine justified?

– You know, people tend to believe and consider every war to be the last, but I believe that the next wars will face even more drones - unmanned aerial vehicles, floating and driving unmanned vehicles. There will be a war of technology more than a war of humans.

After all, if the X-101 rocket costs more than $10 million, then one drone that can carry a charge costs less than $10,000. UAVs are 1000 times cheaper. In addition, modern air defence successfully shoots down missiles, but it is more difficult with drones.

By the way, there are already developed means against drones, the so-called SkyNet. This is a new development that is currently being tested. Modern weapon manufacturers of successful countries, who care about their safety, are making new types of weapons.

In general, the next war will be a war of drones. Naturally, there will be people, but the main attention will be paid to these means of destruction.

– The American television channel CNN made a story about how the Russian army faces chaos in its ranks in advance of a looming counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. What is your assessment of the condition of the Russians right before the counteroffensive?

– It is quite difficult to assess the level of chaos. Different units have different military disciplines. Much depends on the middle-level commanders. The most important thing is that the Russian troops (both well-trained and not very well-trained) are afraid of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

– There are several versions regarding the strike on the Kremlin. Which one do you trust?

– Most likely, it was still a Russian attack. There are various reasons: to boost morale, to rally the population around Putin, to give them the right to more serious attacks on Ukraine, and so on.

I want to note that if you look closely at what happened there, you get the feeling that it was not a random video that was shot, but a movie. Very good angles and good light.

We saw the Ukrainian videos when someone managed to film the flight of drones or missiles. It didn't look like a movie, but fragmentary footage in which you can hardly figure out what is going on. Because no one kept the phone ready, and in the case of the Kremlin, there is a clear feeling that this was prepared in advance.

The funny thing is that, for some reason, two people climbed the stairs a few seconds before the explosion over the dome of the Kremlin. Was there any repair work on the roof at night? Did it really happen just at the moment when the drones exploded there? I will say that they do not look like workers, but rather either the military or special forces.

It’s not clear in the video, but you can see them on the big screen if you look carefully. I think that they were either those who controlled the drones or those who controlled the explosions.

Although, there is a two-percent likelihood that it was an attack by Ukrainian drones, but it could also be meteorites. Theoretically, it is possible, but practically we understand that it is unlikely.

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