Political Scientist: West Must Face Down Lukashenka

The Belarusian regime may face preventive measures.

Deputy Secretary of State of the Security Council of Belarus Pavel Muraveika is threatening to “make a vital corridor” through Lithuania by force of arms to gain access to the transit of goods.

Journalists of Charter97.org asked Grigorij Mesežnikov, a Slovak political scientist and president of the Institute for Public Affairs (IVO) (Bratislava), to comment on Muraveika’s words:

– The content of that statement indicates that it was made by an insane person, out of touch with reality. How can one make some kind of corridor for the transit of goods? This is really nonsense. If the West took what Muraveika said seriously, they should have already prepared for an attack. Maybe take preventative measures.

Frustration and dissatisfaction with the situation could be behind this. The leadership of the dictatorial Lukashenka regime brought Belarus there. They need to somehow resolve the situation created by their repressive policies and relations with Western countries, as well as their alliance with the Russian Federation. All this as a whole does not allow Belarus to develop as a normal state.

Sanctions also bring problems to the regime, that is why they come up with such monstrous, absolutely crazy ideas.

– Is there still a military threat for European countries from the Lukashenka regime?

– It has already shown itself to be, first of all, a Russian instrument of penetration in Europe. I’m talking about developments on the border of Belarus with Poland and Lithuania even before the start of a full-scale war in Ukraine, when Lukashenka was playing to weaken the West.

It can pose a military threat only if it becomes part of the military operations of the Russian Federation. In the meantime, the potential of the West does not allow Russia to fully unfold like that.

As an independent military and political actor, I think that Lukashenka does not pose a threat. If suddenly the Kremlin decides that it’s time to take more large-scale actions, I’m sure that they will use Belarus as a base.

On Lukashenka’s part, of course, this will be another betrayal of the national interests of the Belarusian people and Belarus as an independent state. By doing this, he would jeopardize the very existence of the Belarusian state.

– Considering such statements by the Security Council of Belarus, what should be the response of Western countries?

– Western countries must face down such people. Retaliatory diplomatic measures were taken.

I would like to emphasise that the West is very closely monitoring the situation in Belarus and monitoring all the statements. If they tried to make some kind of corridor for the passage of goods, it would go beyond all adequate limits. The consequences would be very unpleasant for the Belarusian regime.

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